Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina
Atlantic Coast
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.6#26
Expected Predictive Rating+12.6#28
Pace79.5#9
Improvement+2.7#67

Offense
Total Offense+7.7#27
Improvement+4.2#32

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#47
Improvement-1.5#250
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.8% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 25.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.0% n/a n/a
Second Round55.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen20.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight8.9% n/a n/a
Final Four3.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 198   Gardner-Webb W 76-59 94%     1 - 0 +12.1 -3.3 +14.2
  Nov 11, 2012 234   Florida Atlantic W 80-56 96%     2 - 0 +16.6 -5.0 +19.0
  Nov 16, 2012 142   @ Long Beach St. W 78-63 77%     3 - 0 +19.8 -2.0 +20.3
  Nov 19, 2012 237   Mississippi St. W 95-49 93%     4 - 0 +41.6 +15.2 +21.9
  Nov 20, 2012 44   Butler L 71-82 59%     4 - 1 -0.8 -1.4 +1.2
  Nov 27, 2012 3   @ Indiana L 59-83 16%     4 - 2 -0.7 -11.2 +12.9
  Dec 01, 2012 167   UAB W 102-84 92%     5 - 2 +14.7 +6.0 +4.7
  Dec 08, 2012 324   East Tennessee St. W 78-55 99%     6 - 2 +8.3 -12.2 +17.9
  Dec 15, 2012 158   East Carolina W 93-87 92%     7 - 2 +3.3 +2.9 -0.4
  Dec 19, 2012 88   @ Texas L 67-85 65%     7 - 3 -9.3 -11.4 +5.3
  Dec 22, 2012 299   McNeese St. W 97-63 98%     8 - 3 +21.7 +8.1 +10.2
  Dec 29, 2012 31   UNLV W 79-73 65%     9 - 3 +14.7 +11.2 +3.3
  Jan 06, 2013 39   @ Virginia L 52-61 43%     9 - 4 0 - 1 +5.4 -7.4 +12.1
  Jan 10, 2013 12   Miami (FL) L 59-68 52%     9 - 5 0 - 2 +3.0 -3.9 +6.3
  Jan 12, 2013 109   @ Florida St. W 77-72 69%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +12.3 +12.5 +0.2
  Jan 19, 2013 53   Maryland W 62-52 73%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +16.2 -6.8 +22.8
  Jan 23, 2013 102   Georgia Tech W 79-63 85%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +17.3 -0.8 +15.8
  Jan 26, 2013 29   @ North Carolina St. L 83-91 39%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +7.4 +1.4 +7.2
  Jan 29, 2013 93   @ Boston College W 82-70 66%     13 - 6 4 - 3 +20.3 +10.9 +9.6
  Feb 02, 2013 160   Virginia Tech W 72-60 OT 92%     14 - 6 5 - 3 +9.2 -6.9 +15.8
  Feb 05, 2013 127   Wake Forest W 87-62 89%     15 - 6 6 - 3 +24.3 +5.1 +16.3
  Feb 09, 2013 12   @ Miami (FL) L 61-87 28%     15 - 7 6 - 4 -7.5 -0.7 -7.6
  Feb 13, 2013 6   @ Duke L 68-73 22%     15 - 8 6 - 5 +15.8 +1.1 +14.9
  Feb 16, 2013 39   Virginia W 93-81 67%     16 - 8 7 - 5 +19.9 +25.9 -6.0
  Feb 19, 2013 102   @ Georgia Tech W 70-58 68%     17 - 8 8 - 5 +19.8 +3.1 +16.4
  Feb 23, 2013 29   North Carolina St. W 76-65 64%     18 - 8 9 - 5 +19.9 +3.1 +16.7
  Feb 28, 2013 111   @ Clemson W 68-59 70%     19 - 8 10 - 5 +16.1 +7.2 +9.7
  Mar 03, 2013 109   Florida St. W 79-58 86%     20 - 8 11 - 5 +21.8 +9.6 +13.4
  Mar 06, 2013 53   @ Maryland W 79-68 49%     21 - 8 12 - 5 +23.7 +14.7 +9.0
  Mar 09, 2013 6   Duke L 53-69 43%     21 - 9 12 - 6 -1.6 -8.2 +4.3
  Mar 15, 2013 109   Florida St. W 83-62 79%     22 - 9 +25.1 +13.1 +12.6
  Mar 16, 2013 53   Maryland W 79-76 62%     23 - 9 +12.5 +9.2 +3.1
  Mar 17, 2013 12   Miami (FL) L 77-87 40%     23 - 10 +5.2 +17.1 -12.6
Projected Record 23.0 - 10.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 99.1% 99.1% 7.2 0.0 0.7 5.4 19.5 38.4 24.1 8.9 1.9 0.2 1.0 99.1%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.1% 0.0% 99.1% 7.2 0.0 0.7 5.4 19.5 38.4 24.1 8.9 1.9 0.2 1.0 99.1%